Milan II 1-0 SPAL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.49
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.36
6+ Goals
8%
22.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
22%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.1pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.6pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milan II EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY SPAL EU Bookmakers 39%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -24%
0.79/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.92
-32% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -43%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milan II
2W-0D-0L
AWAY SPAL
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
01.02.2025 SPAL SPAL 1-2 HT 0-1 Milan II Milan II İTC
26.09.2024 Milan II Milan II 2-1 HT 0-0 SPAL SPAL İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milan II
1-0
AWAY SPAL
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Milan II vs SPAL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milan II edged past SPAL 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Milan II found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Milan II had 56% of the ball to SPAL's 44%, shots finished 13-3.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Milan II had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Milan II and 1.00 for SPAL.

What was the final score of Milan II vs SPAL?

Milan II 1-0 SPAL in the Italy - Serie C on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milan II vs SPAL?

Before kick-off our model rated an SPAL win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Milan II 37%, draw 25%, SPAL 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (SPAL) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SPAL) ✓ Under 2.5
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