Pro Patria 1-0 Pro Vercelli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 10 May 2025

📅10/05/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.11
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
5.44
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
+0.4pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.0pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.4pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pro Patria EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Pro Vercelli EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -22%
1.25/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.39
+2% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pro Patria
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Pro Vercelli
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
12.04.2025 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 2-2 HT 0-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
01.12.2024 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-1 HT 0-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
18.08.2024 Pro Patria Pro Patria 0-0 HT 0-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTCK
05.03.2024 Pro Patria Pro Patria 2-1 HT 1-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
28.10.2023 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 2-1 HT 1-1 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
01.02.2023 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 0-2 HT 0-1 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pro Patria
1-0
AWAY Pro Vercelli
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pro Patria vs Pro Vercelli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pro Patria edged past Pro Vercelli 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 30%) promised a tight game; Pro Patria found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Pro Patria had 52% of the ball to Pro Vercelli's 48%, shots finished 12-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pro Patria had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Pro Patria and 1.00 for Pro Vercelli.

What was the final score of Pro Patria vs Pro Vercelli?

Pro Patria 1-0 Pro Vercelli in the Italy - Serie C on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pro Patria vs Pro Vercelli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pro Patria win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Pro Patria 40%, draw 29%, Pro Vercelli 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pro Patria), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pro Patria) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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