Pro Patria 1-1 Pro Vercelli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
26%
2.88
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.19
No
62%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.06
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
15%
5.97
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.2pp
26%
Draw
31%
-5.0pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+7.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.8pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pro Patria EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Pro Vercelli EU Bookmakers 29%
-12% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -15%
1.09/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.33
-16% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
349 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pro Patria
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Pro Vercelli
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
18.08.2024 Pro Patria Pro Patria 0-0 HT 0-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTCK
05.03.2024 Pro Patria Pro Patria 2-1 HT 1-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
28.10.2023 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 2-1 HT 1-1 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
01.02.2023 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 0-2 HT 0-1 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
02.10.2022 Pro Patria Pro Patria 2-1 HT 0-1 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
06.03.2022 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 4-1 HT 2-1 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pro Patria
1-1
AWAY Pro Vercelli
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pro Patria vs Pro Vercelli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pro Patria and Pro Vercelli couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Pro Patria at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

On the day, Pro Patria had 44% of the ball to Pro Vercelli's 56%, shots finished 5-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pro Patria had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Pro Patria and 1.33 for Pro Vercelli.

What was the final score of Pro Patria vs Pro Vercelli?

Pro Patria 1-1 Pro Vercelli in the Italy - Serie C on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pro Patria vs Pro Vercelli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pro Patria win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Pro Patria 42%, draw 26%, Pro Vercelli 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Pro Patria), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pro Patria) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
1 Dec 2024
00:00 Sassari Torres vs Ascoli Analysis →
14:30 Caldiero Terme vs Arzignano Valchiampo Analysis →
17:00 Novara vs Lumezzane Analysis →
17:00 Sestri Levante vs Perugia Analysis →
17:00 Ternana vs Milan II Analysis →
17:00 Casertana vs Rossoblu Potenza Analysis →