Virtus Entella 1-1 Avellino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 10 May 2025

Virtus Entella
1-1 HT 1-1
Avellino
📅10/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2024/2025

Virtus Entella vs Avellino Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.65
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.07
6+ Goals
8%
19.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.65 — our 32% vs market 30.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.6pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.4pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.7pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Virtus Entella v Avellino — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Virtus Entella EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Avellino EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +13%
1.71/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.10
+40% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
342 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7

Virtus Entella vs Avellino Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Virtus Entella
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Avellino
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
The Meetings
14.04.2018 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 1-1 HT 0-0 Avellino Avellino İTB
11.11.2017 Avellino Avellino 0-0 HT 0-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTB
28.01.2017 Avellino Avellino 2-2 HT 1-1 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTB
04.09.2016 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 2-0 HT 1-0 Avellino Avellino İTB
14.05.2016 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 4-0 HT 3-0 Avellino Avellino İTB
22.12.2015 Avellino Avellino 2-0 HT 1-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTB

Virtus Entella 1-1 Avellino — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Virtus Entella
1-1
AWAY Avellino
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Virtus Entella vs Avellino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Virtus Entella and Avellino shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Virtus Entella had 48% of the ball to Avellino's 52%, shots finished 9-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Virtus Entella had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Virtus Entella and 0.83 for Avellino.

What was the final score of Virtus Entella vs Avellino?

Virtus Entella 1-1 Avellino in the Italy - Serie C on 10/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Virtus Entella vs Avellino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Virtus Entella win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Virtus Entella 39%, draw 29%, Avellino 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Virtus Entella), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Virtus Entella) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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