Pro Vercelli 2-2 Pro Patria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.45
Over 2.5
38%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
1.99
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
6.0
6+ Goals
9%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.2pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.5pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+1.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
65%
-3.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
35%
+3.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.8pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pro Vercelli EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Pro Patria EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -9%
1.06/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.11
-13% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
364 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pro Vercelli
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Pro Patria
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
01.12.2024 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-1 HT 0-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
18.08.2024 Pro Patria Pro Patria 0-0 HT 0-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTCK
05.03.2024 Pro Patria Pro Patria 2-1 HT 1-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
28.10.2023 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 2-1 HT 1-1 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
01.02.2023 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 0-2 HT 0-1 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
02.10.2022 Pro Patria Pro Patria 2-1 HT 0-1 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pro Vercelli
2-2
AWAY Pro Patria
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Pro Vercelli vs Pro Patria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pro Vercelli and Pro Patria shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pro Vercelli had 55% of the ball to Pro Patria's 45%, shots finished 12-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pro Patria led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Pro Vercelli and 1.33 for Pro Patria.

What was the final score of Pro Vercelli vs Pro Patria?

Pro Vercelli 2-2 Pro Patria in the Italy - Serie C on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pro Vercelli vs Pro Patria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pro Vercelli win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Pro Vercelli 38%, draw 31%, Pro Patria 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pro Vercelli) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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