Pianese 4-0 Pineto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.6
Over 2.5
50%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.95
No
46%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.45
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
4.45
6+ Goals
11%
24.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.6pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.5pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
59%
-8.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
41%
+8.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.7pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pianese EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Pineto EU Bookmakers 34%
-12% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.81/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.50
-34% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
289 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pianese
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Pineto
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.11.2024 Pineto Pineto 1-0 HT 1-0 Pianese Pianese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pianese
4-0
AWAY Pineto
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pianese vs Pineto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pianese swept aside Pineto 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Pianese found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Pianese had 52% of the ball to Pineto's 48%, shots finished 16-16.

What was the final score of Pianese vs Pineto?

Pianese 4-0 Pineto in the Italy - Serie C on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pianese vs Pineto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pianese win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Pianese 39%, draw 27%, Pineto 34%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pianese) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pianese) ✗ BTTS Yes
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