Lecco 2-1 AlbinoLeffe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.51
Over 2.5
48%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.16
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
5.24
6+ Goals
9%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
+0.3pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.7pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+3.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
62%
-10.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
38%
+10.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.3pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lecco EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY AlbinoLeffe EU Bookmakers 34%
+13% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
1.43/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.18
+25% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lecco
1W-2D-3L
AWAY AlbinoLeffe
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.11.2024 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 0-0 HT 0-0 Lecco Lecco İTC
01.02.2023 Lecco Lecco 2-1 HT 0-0 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
01.10.2022 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 1-1 HT 1-0 Lecco Lecco İTC
20.03.2022 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 2-1 HT 1-0 Lecco Lecco İTC
14.11.2021 Lecco Lecco 2-3 HT 0-1 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
22.08.2021 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 2-1 HT 2-1 Lecco Lecco İTCK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lecco
2-1
AWAY AlbinoLeffe
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lecco vs AlbinoLeffe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lecco nicked a narrow win over AlbinoLeffe 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Lecco made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Lecco had 42% of the ball to AlbinoLeffe's 58%, shots finished 8-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AlbinoLeffe led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lecco and 1.50 for AlbinoLeffe.

What was the final score of Lecco vs AlbinoLeffe?

Lecco 2-1 AlbinoLeffe in the Italy - Serie C on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lecco vs AlbinoLeffe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lecco win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lecco 38%, draw 27%, AlbinoLeffe 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lecco) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lecco) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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