Cavese 0-1 Catania — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.56
Over 2.5
48%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.96
No
46%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.34
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.7
6+ Goals
9%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.6pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.8pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
60%
-8.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
40%
+8.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.9pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cavese EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Catania EU Bookmakers 43%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
1.27/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.14
+15% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -6%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cavese
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Catania
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.11.2024 Catania Catania 1-1 HT 1-0 Cavese Cavese İTC
27.03.2021 Cavese Cavese 0-2 HT 0-0 Catania Catania İTC
06.12.2020 Catania Catania 1-1 HT 1-0 Cavese Cavese İTC
09.02.2020 Cavese Cavese 0-1 HT 0-1 Catania Catania İTC
25.09.2019 Catania Catania 4-0 HT 2-0 Cavese Cavese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cavese
0-1
AWAY Catania
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cavese vs Catania
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Catania nicked a narrow win over Cavese 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 39% — and on the day Catania made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Cavese had 62% of the ball to Catania's 38%, shots finished 17-8.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Catania led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Cavese and 1.80 for Catania.

What was the final score of Cavese vs Catania?

Cavese 0-1 Catania in the Italy - Serie C on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cavese vs Catania?

Before kick-off our model rated an Catania win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cavese 32%, draw 29%, Catania 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Catania), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Catania) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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