SPAL 1-2 Milan II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 1 Feb 2025

SPAL
1-2 HT 0-1
Milan II
📅01/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2024/2025

SPAL vs Milan II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.46
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
4.27
6+ Goals
7%
22.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.0pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

SPAL v Milan II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SPAL EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Milan II EU Bookmakers 33%
-25% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.04/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.00
-14% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / +15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2

SPAL vs Milan II Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SPAL
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Milan II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.09.2024 Milan II Milan II 2-1 HT 0-0 SPAL SPAL İTC

SPAL 1-2 Milan II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SPAL
1-2
AWAY Milan II
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SPAL vs Milan II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milan II edged past SPAL 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Milan II found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, SPAL had 56% of the ball to Milan II's 44%, shots finished 16-9.

What was the final score of SPAL vs Milan II?

SPAL 1-2 Milan II in the Italy - Serie C on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SPAL vs Milan II?

Before kick-off our model rated a SPAL win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split SPAL 38%, draw 29%, Milan II 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (SPAL) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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