Virtus Verona vs Padova Calcio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Virtus Verona v Padova Calcio — Team-Based Signals
Virtus Verona vs Padova Calcio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Virtus Verona
İTC
0-1
HT 0-0
Virtus Verona
İTC
1-1
HT 0-1
Padova Calcio
İTC
0-0
HT 0-0
Virtus Verona
İTC
Virtus Verona 1-0 Padova Calcio — Actual Match Statistics
Virtus Verona edged past Padova Calcio 1-0.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Padova Calcio at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
On the day, Virtus Verona had 34% of the ball to Padova Calcio's 66%, shots finished 4-21.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Padova Calcio led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Virtus Verona and 1.33 for Padova Calcio.
What was the final score of Virtus Verona vs Padova Calcio?
Virtus Verona 1-0 Padova Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Virtus Verona vs Padova Calcio?
Before kick-off our model rated an Padova Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Virtus Verona 18%, draw 23%, Padova Calcio 59%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Padova Calcio), Over 2.5 went the other way.