Virtus Verona 1-1 Padova Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 4 Feb 2024

Virtus Verona
1-1 HT 0-0
Padova Calcio
📅04/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2023/2024

Virtus Verona vs Padova Calcio Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.13
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
52%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.29
No
63%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.21
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
5.53
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
21%
+3.4pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
52%
Away Win
52%
-0.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.0pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-3.0pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Virtus Verona v Padova Calcio — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Virtus Verona EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Padova Calcio EU Bookmakers 56%
-7% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
0.68/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.93
-26% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -13%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
214 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6

Virtus Verona vs Padova Calcio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Virtus Verona
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Padova Calcio
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.09.2023 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 2-0 HT 0-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
14.05.2023 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 0-1 HT 0-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
11.02.2023 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 1-1 HT 0-1 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
16.10.2022 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 0-0 HT 0-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
24.04.2022 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 1-2 HT 0-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
18.12.2021 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 0-0 HT 0-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC

Virtus Verona 1-1 Padova Calcio — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Virtus Verona
1-1
AWAY Padova Calcio
34% Ball Possession 66%
11 Total Shots 29
4 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Virtus Verona vs Padova Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Virtus Verona and Padova Calcio couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Padova Calcio at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

On the day, Virtus Verona had 34% of the ball to Padova Calcio's 66%, shots finished 11-29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Virtus Verona had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Virtus Verona and 0.67 for Padova Calcio.

What was the final score of Virtus Verona vs Padova Calcio?

Virtus Verona 1-1 Padova Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Virtus Verona vs Padova Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Padova Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Virtus Verona 24%, draw 24%, Padova Calcio 52%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Padova Calcio), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Padova Calcio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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