ACR Messina 2-1 US Latina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.56
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
4.1
6+ Goals
8%
20.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.6pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.1pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ACR Messina EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY US Latina EU Bookmakers 31%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -3%
1.25/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.28
-3% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ACR Messina
3W-2D-1L
AWAY US Latina
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.09.2024 US Latina US Latina 1-1 HT 1-1 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTC
16.03.2024 US Latina US Latina 1-1 HT 1-1 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTC
12.11.2023 ACR Messina ACR Messina 0-3 HT 0-1 US Latina US Latina İTC
25.02.2023 US Latina US Latina 0-2 HT 0-1 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTC
22.10.2022 ACR Messina ACR Messina 4-1 HT 2-0 US Latina US Latina İTC
27.03.2022 ACR Messina ACR Messina 1-0 HT 1-0 US Latina US Latina İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ACR Messina
2-1
AWAY US Latina
58% Ball Possession 42%
6 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH ACR Messina vs US Latina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ACR Messina squeezed past US Latina 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had ACR Messina as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, ACR Messina had 58% of the ball to US Latina's 42%, shots finished 6-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ACR Messina had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for ACR Messina and 1.00 for US Latina.

What was the final score of ACR Messina vs US Latina?

ACR Messina 2-1 US Latina in the Italy - Serie C on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ACR Messina vs US Latina?

Before kick-off our model rated a ACR Messina win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split ACR Messina 43%, draw 28%, US Latina 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ACR Messina) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ACR Messina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
1 Feb 2025
17:00 Virtus Verona vs Padova Calcio Analysis →
17:00 Pro Patria vs AlbinoLeffe Analysis →
17:00 Arzignano Valchiampo vs Lecco Analysis →
17:00 SPAL vs Milan II Analysis →
17:00 Trapani 1905 vs Rossoblu Potenza Analysis →
19:30 Renate vs Vicenza Analysis →