US Latina 1-1 ACR Messina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 25 Sep 2024

📅25/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.62
Over 2.5
48%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.56
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.6
6+ Goals
9%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.2pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME US Latina EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY ACR Messina EU Bookmakers 28%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +12%
1.21/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.38
-16% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
308 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 211 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME US Latina
2W-1D-3L
AWAY ACR Messina
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 US Latina US Latina 1-1 HT 1-1 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTC
12.11.2023 ACR Messina ACR Messina 0-3 HT 0-1 US Latina US Latina İTC
25.02.2023 US Latina US Latina 0-2 HT 0-1 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTC
22.10.2022 ACR Messina ACR Messina 4-1 HT 2-0 US Latina US Latina İTC
27.03.2022 ACR Messina ACR Messina 1-0 HT 1-0 US Latina US Latina İTC
20.11.2021 US Latina US Latina 1-0 HT 1-0 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME US Latina
1-1
AWAY ACR Messina
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH US Latina vs ACR Messina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

US Latina and ACR Messina shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was US Latina at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, US Latina had 43% of the ball to ACR Messina's 57%, shots finished 8-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ACR Messina led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for US Latina and 1.33 for ACR Messina.

What was the final score of US Latina vs ACR Messina?

US Latina 1-1 ACR Messina in the Italy - Serie C on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for US Latina vs ACR Messina?

Before kick-off our model rated a US Latina win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split US Latina 44%, draw 27%, ACR Messina 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (US Latina), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (US Latina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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