Lucchese 3-3 Pianese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 25 Sep 2024

📅25/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.76
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.24
6+ Goals
9%
20.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-5.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lucchese EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Pianese EU Bookmakers 22%
-14% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.37/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/0.81
-14% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +66%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
371 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lucchese
3-3
AWAY Pianese
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 18
13 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lucchese vs Pianese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lucchese and Pianese couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Lucchese at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lucchese had 58% of the ball to Pianese's 42%, shots finished 18-18.

What was the final score of Lucchese vs Pianese?

Lucchese 3-3 Pianese in the Italy - Serie C on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lucchese vs Pianese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lucchese win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Lucchese 49%, draw 27%, Pianese 24%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lucchese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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