FeralpiSalo 2-0 GIANA Erminio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 25 Sep 2024

📅25/09/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.8
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.42
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.96
6+ Goals
11%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
52%
-9.0pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.9pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FeralpiSalo EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY GIANA Erminio EU Bookmakers 24%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +12%
1.48/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.33
+2% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
357 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FeralpiSalo
2W-0D-1L
AWAY GIANA Erminio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
17.03.2022 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 2-1 HT 2-0 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTC
07.11.2021 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 1-0 HT 0-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
25.04.2015 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 0-1 HT 0-1 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FeralpiSalo
2-0
AWAY GIANA Erminio
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FeralpiSalo vs GIANA Erminio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FeralpiSalo saw off GIANA Erminio 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had FeralpiSalo as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FeralpiSalo had 45% of the ball to GIANA Erminio's 55%, shots finished 14-4.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, FeralpiSalo had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FeralpiSalo and 0.67 for GIANA Erminio.

What was the final score of FeralpiSalo vs GIANA Erminio?

FeralpiSalo 2-0 GIANA Erminio in the Italy - Serie C on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FeralpiSalo vs GIANA Erminio?

Before kick-off our model rated a FeralpiSalo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split FeralpiSalo 43%, draw 32%, GIANA Erminio 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FeralpiSalo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FeralpiSalo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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