Lecco 3-2 Arzignano Valchiampo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 25 Sep 2024

📅25/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.51
Over 2.5
46%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.23
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
5.55
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.5pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.8pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-9.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+9.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.8pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lecco EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo EU Bookmakers 26%
+3% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -9%
1.75/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.10
+21% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
243 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lecco
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
42% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.02.2023 Lecco Lecco 2-1 HT 1-1 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
23.10.2022 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 0-2 HT 0-1 Lecco Lecco İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lecco
3-2
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lecco vs Arzignano Valchiampo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lecco nicked a narrow win over Arzignano Valchiampo 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lecco as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lecco had 63% of the ball to Arzignano Valchiampo's 37%, shots finished 18-15.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lecco had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Lecco and 0.50 for Arzignano Valchiampo.

What was the final score of Lecco vs Arzignano Valchiampo?

Lecco 3-2 Arzignano Valchiampo in the Italy - Serie C on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lecco vs Arzignano Valchiampo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lecco win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Lecco 47%, draw 26%, Arzignano Valchiampo 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lecco) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lecco) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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