Pro Vercelli 1-0 Pro Patria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.48
Over 2.5
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.17
2-3 Goals
34%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
5.21
6+ Goals
9%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-0.8pp
32%
Draw
32%
+0.3pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-5.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+5.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.9pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pro Vercelli EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Pro Patria EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -12%
1.09/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.17
-12% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pro Vercelli
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Pro Patria
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.05.2025 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-0 HT 0-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
12.04.2025 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 2-2 HT 0-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
01.12.2024 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-1 HT 0-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
18.08.2024 Pro Patria Pro Patria 0-0 HT 0-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTCK
05.03.2024 Pro Patria Pro Patria 2-1 HT 1-0 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli İTC
28.10.2023 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 2-1 HT 1-1 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pro Vercelli
1-0
AWAY Pro Patria
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pro Vercelli vs Pro Patria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pro Vercelli squeezed past Pro Patria 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 32% / 29% — and on the day Pro Vercelli made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Pro Vercelli had 46% of the ball to Pro Patria's 54%, shots finished 6-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pro Patria led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pro Vercelli and 1.17 for Pro Patria.

What was the final score of Pro Vercelli vs Pro Patria?

Pro Vercelli 1-0 Pro Patria in the Italy - Serie C on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pro Vercelli vs Pro Patria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pro Vercelli win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Pro Vercelli 39%, draw 32%, Pro Patria 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pro Vercelli), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pro Vercelli) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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