Grazer AK 1-1 Rapid Wien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 21 Sep 2025

Grazer AK
1-1 HT 0-1
Rapid Wien
📅21/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Grazer AK vs Rapid Wien Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.48
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
52%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.82
No
43%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.43
2-3 Goals
45%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
3.47
6+ Goals
10%
13.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
8.06
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
22.8
1/X
5%
16.15
X/1
9%
9.93
X/2
12%
4.1
X/X
12%
5.14
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
29%
2.09
2/X
7%
14.35
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.8 — our 10% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
20%
+4.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.7pp
52%
Away Win
56%
-4.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.8pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Grazer AK v Rapid Wien — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grazer AK EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapid Wien EU Bookmakers 60%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -16%
1.02/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.06
+13% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +4%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
242 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 75%
15.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.8
14.2 Crosses 20.6
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.3

Grazer AK vs Rapid Wien Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grazer AK
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Rapid Wien
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.36 xG 2.45
27% Ball Possession 73%
7 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 9
166 Passes 585
68% Pass Accuracy 88%
12 Box Touches 36
12 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
16.03.2025 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 3-0 HT 3-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AVU
27.10.2024 Grazer AK Grazer AK 1-1 HT 0-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
08.11.2006 Grazer AK Grazer AK 1-1 HT 0-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
20.08.2006 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 1-4 HT 0-1 Grazer AK Grazer AK AVU
29.04.2006 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 2-0 HT 0-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AVU
25.02.2006 Grazer AK Grazer AK 3-1 HT 0-1 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU

Grazer AK 1-1 Rapid Wien — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grazer AK
1-1
AWAY Rapid Wien
1.94 xG 1.57
33% Ball Possession 67%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 7
150 Passes 376
70% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Grazer AK vs Rapid Wien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grazer AK and Rapid Wien couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Rapid Wien at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Grazer AK had 33% of the ball to Rapid Wien's 67%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.94 to 1.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Grazer AK and 1.50 for Rapid Wien.

What was the final score of Grazer AK vs Rapid Wien?

Grazer AK 1-1 Rapid Wien in the Austria - Bundesliga on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grazer AK vs Rapid Wien?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rapid Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Grazer AK 24%, draw 24%, Rapid Wien 52%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rapid Wien), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rapid Wien) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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