Rapid Wien 3-0 Grazer AK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 16 Mar 2025

Rapid Wien
3-0 HT 3-0
Grazer AK
📅16/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Rapid Wien vs Grazer AK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.33
Draw
26%
4.62
Away
19%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.18
Over 2.5
65%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.96
No
44%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
4.33
2-3 Goals
37%
1.9
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
34%
3.01
6+ Goals
11%
9.07
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.01 — our 34% vs market 27.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.54
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
4%
20.1
X/1
17%
3.76
X/2
7%
17.55
X/X
11%
7.22
2/1
8%
22.1
2/2
7%
15.35
2/X EV+ ✗
11%
23.4
Value flag · 2/X at 23.4 — our 11% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
71%
-16.0pp
26%
Draw
18%
+7.9pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+8.1pp
35%
Under 2.5
42%
-7.1pp
65%
Over 2.5
58%
+7.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
47%
+9.6pp
44%
BTTS No
53%
-9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rapid Wien v Grazer AK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rapid Wien EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Grazer AK EU Bookmakers 14%
-7% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.25/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.62
-7% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -20%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
370 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 69%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
22.6 Crosses 16.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.3

Rapid Wien vs Grazer AK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rapid Wien
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Grazer AK
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.64 xG 0.50
74% Ball Possession 26%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
538 Passes 135
86% Pass Accuracy 63%
30 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 5
The Meetings
27.10.2024 Grazer AK Grazer AK 1-1 HT 0-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
08.11.2006 Grazer AK Grazer AK 1-1 HT 0-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
20.08.2006 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 1-4 HT 0-1 Grazer AK Grazer AK AVU
29.04.2006 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 2-0 HT 0-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AVU
25.02.2006 Grazer AK Grazer AK 3-1 HT 0-1 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
25.10.2005 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 3-2 HT 1-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AVU

Rapid Wien 3-0 Grazer AK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rapid Wien
3-0
AWAY Grazer AK
3.26 xG 0.22
72% Ball Possession 28%
20 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 4
632 Passes 198
89% Pass Accuracy 72%
41 Box Touches 5
30 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rapid Wien vs Grazer AK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rapid Wien swept aside Grazer AK 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rapid Wien as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (65%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Rapid Wien had 72% of the ball to Grazer AK's 28%, shots finished 20-4, expected goals 3.26 to 0.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rapid Wien and 1.83 for Grazer AK.

What was the final score of Rapid Wien vs Grazer AK?

Rapid Wien 3-0 Grazer AK in the Austria - Bundesliga on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rapid Wien vs Grazer AK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rapid Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Rapid Wien 55%, draw 26%, Grazer AK 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rapid Wien), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rapid Wien) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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