Blau-Weiss Linz 4-1 Hartberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
36%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.67
Over 2.5
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.71
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
4.42
6+ Goals
13%
22.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.03
1/2
11%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
10%
4.66
X/2
12%
6.73
X/X
15%
4.16
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
14%
5.32
2/X
6%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
44%
-7.8pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.6pp
36%
Away Win
28%
+8.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.6pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blau-Weiss Linz EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartberg EU Bookmakers 32%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +17%
1.33/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.51
+9% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
274 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 74%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
18.8 Crosses 18.1
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blau-Weiss Linz
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Hartberg
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.09 xG 1.96
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
251 Passes 336
68% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.10.2024 Hartberg Hartberg 2-1 HT 1-0 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AVU
05.11.2023 Hartberg Hartberg 3-2 HT 1-2 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AVU
06.08.2023 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 3-3 HT 1-2 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
02.11.2021 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 2-3 HT 0-3 Hartberg Hartberg AUK
11.05.2018 Hartberg Hartberg 2-2 HT 2-0 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AU2
16.03.2018 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 1-3 HT 1-1 Hartberg Hartberg AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blau-Weiss Linz
4-1
AWAY Hartberg
3.40 xG 0.68
41% Ball Possession 59%
22 Total Shots 4
11 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
258 Passes 406
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
29 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Blau-Weiss Linz vs Hartberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blau-Weiss Linz ran out comfortable winners over Hartberg 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Blau-Weiss Linz made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Blau-Weiss Linz had 41% of the ball to Hartberg's 59%, shots finished 22-4, expected goals 3.40 to 0.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hartberg led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Blau-Weiss Linz and 2.67 for Hartberg.

What was the final score of Blau-Weiss Linz vs Hartberg?

Blau-Weiss Linz 4-1 Hartberg in the Austria - Bundesliga on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blau-Weiss Linz vs Hartberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Blau-Weiss Linz win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Blau-Weiss Linz 37%, draw 27%, Hartberg 36%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Blau-Weiss Linz), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Blau-Weiss Linz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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