Sturm Graz vs LASK Linz Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sturm Graz v LASK Linz — Team-Based Signals
Sturm Graz vs LASK Linz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
Sturm Graz
AVU
2-0
HT 1-0
LASK Linz
AVU
2-0
HT 2-0
LASK Linz
AVU
Sturm Graz 4-2 LASK Linz — Actual Match Statistics
Sturm Graz beat LASK Linz 4-2. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sturm Graz as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Sturm Graz had 54% of the ball to LASK Linz's 46%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 3.71 to 0.68.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sturm Graz had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sturm Graz and 1.00 for LASK Linz.
What was the final score of Sturm Graz vs LASK Linz?
Sturm Graz 4-2 LASK Linz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sturm Graz vs LASK Linz?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sturm Graz win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz 48%, draw 23%, LASK Linz 29%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sturm Graz), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.