Swarovski Tirol 0-2 Austria Wien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.46
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
42%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.75
Over 2.5
53%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.98
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
4.0
6+ Goals
11%
18.15
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.0 — our 24% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.15
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
25.5
1/X
6%
14.85
X/1
11%
7.7
X/2
17%
4.42
X/X
14%
4.48
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
18%
2.63
2/X
7%
13.75
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.5 — our 8% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
25%
+4.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
42%
Away Win
48%
-5.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
53%
-6.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
47%
+6.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.7pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swarovski Tirol EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Austria Wien EU Bookmakers 52%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.41/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.18
+24% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +29%
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
228 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 79%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
16.2 Crosses 20.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swarovski Tirol
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Austria Wien
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.45 xG 1.89
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
270 Passes 368
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 Austria Wien Austria Wien 3-0 HT 0-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
23.04.2024 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 1-0 HT 0-0 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
20.04.2024 Austria Wien Austria Wien 3-0 HT 2-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
10.03.2024 Austria Wien Austria Wien 2-0 HT 1-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
22.10.2023 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 0-2 HT 0-1 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
06.11.2022 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 0-0 HT 0-0 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swarovski Tirol
0-2
AWAY Austria Wien
0.85 xG 1.95
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 11
175 Passes 358
66% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Swarovski Tirol vs Austria Wien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austria Wien beat Swarovski Tirol 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Austria Wien as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Swarovski Tirol had 37% of the ball to Austria Wien's 63%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.85 to 1.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Austria Wien led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Swarovski Tirol and 1.67 for Austria Wien.

What was the final score of Swarovski Tirol vs Austria Wien?

Swarovski Tirol 0-2 Austria Wien in the Austria - Bundesliga on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swarovski Tirol vs Austria Wien?

Before kick-off our model rated an Austria Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Swarovski Tirol 30%, draw 28%, Austria Wien 42%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Austria Wien) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Austria Wien) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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