Le Havre 1-1 Lorient — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 21 Sep 2025

Le Havre
1 - 1 HT 0 - 1
Lorient
📅21/09/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2025/2026

Le Havre vs Lorient Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
24%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.67
Over
44%
2.02
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.58
2-3
46%
1.72
4-5
19%
4.16
6+
4%
20.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.9
1/2
2%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.45
X/1
17%
4.58
X/2
10%
6.97
X/X
18%
4.09
2/1
3%
28.0
2/2
13%
5.54
2/X
5%
14.3
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Le Havre v Lorient — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Le Havre The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Lorient The Market 30%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.17 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.06
0.98 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.75
Bad Attack Strength Weak
Great Defense Strength Weak
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
361 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
23 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
26 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2

Le Havre vs Lorient Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Le Havre
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Lorient
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.92 xG 1.23
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
345 Passes 370
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.01.2024 Lorient Lorient 3-3 HT 1-1 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
03.09.2023 Le Havre Le Havre 3-0 HT 0-0 Lorient Lorient FR1
29.07.2023 Lorient Lorient 2-0 HT 0-0 Le Havre Le Havre HAZ
19.10.2019 Le Havre Le Havre 2-2 HT 1-2 Lorient Lorient FR2
17.05.2019 Le Havre Le Havre 2-3 HT 1-2 Lorient Lorient FR2
28.07.2018 Lorient Lorient 0-0 HT 0-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR2

Le Havre 1-1 Lorient — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Le Havre
1 - 1
AWAY Lorient
2.47 xG 1.21
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
472 Passes 302
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 18
37 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 6
REVIEW Le Havre vs Lorient
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Le Havre and Lorient traded blows to a 1-1 standstill. Half-time: 0-1.

We leaned Le Havre at 47% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, Le Havre had 60% of the ball to Lorient's 40%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 2.47 to 1.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lorient led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Le Havre and 1.67 for Lorient.

Le Havre vs Lorient Result & Final Score

Le Havre 1 - 1 Lorient in the France - Ligue 1 on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Le Havre vs Lorient Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Le Havre win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Le Havre 47%, draw 29%, Lorient 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Le Havre) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Le Havre) ✓ Under 2.5
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