VVV-Venlo 1-0 MVV Maastricht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 21 Sep 2025

VVV-Venlo
1-0 HT 0-0
MVV Maastricht
📅21/09/2025 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2025/2026

VVV-Venlo vs MVV Maastricht Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.8
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.29
Over Pick
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
23%
4.47
2-3
36%
1.86
4-5
29%
2.67
6+
12%
7.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.3
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.35
X/1
12%
4.7
X/2
12%
8.82
X/X
10%
5.62
2/1 ✗
11%
20.5
2/2
7%
6.07
2/X
6%
13.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.5 — our 11% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

VVV-Venlo v MVV Maastricht — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME VVV-Venlo The Market 56%
Head to Head
AWAY MVV Maastricht The Market 27%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
1.41 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.16
0.82 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.65
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Average
Average Defensevs comparable teams Average
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 73%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
23.2 Crosses 15.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6

VVV-Venlo vs MVV Maastricht Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VVV-Venlo
2W-1D-3L
AWAY MVV Maastricht
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.57 xG 1.27
53% Ball Possession 47%
20 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
365 Passes 328
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.02.2025 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 0-0 HT 0-0 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
13.10.2024 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 2-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
10.05.2024 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 2-0 HT 2-0 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
13.08.2023 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 1-3 HT 0-0 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2
03.03.2023 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht 0-1 HT 0-1 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo HOL2
11.12.2022 VVV-Venlo VVV-Venlo 2-1 HT 0-0 MVV Maastricht MVV Maastricht HOL2

VVV-Venlo 1-0 MVV Maastricht — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME VVV-Venlo
1-0
AWAY MVV Maastricht
1.06 xG 0.67
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
415 Passes 205
83% Pass Accuracy 67%
25 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW VVV-Venlo vs MVV Maastricht
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

VVV-Venlo squeezed past MVV Maastricht 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

True to our pre-match read, our model had VVV-Venlo as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, possession split 62% to 38% in VVV-Venlo's favour, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 1.06 to 0.67.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, MVV Maastricht led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for VVV-Venlo against 1.33 for MVV Maastricht.

VVV-Venlo vs MVV Maastricht Result & Final Score

VVV-Venlo 1-0 MVV Maastricht in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

VVV-Venlo vs MVV Maastricht Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a VVV-Venlo win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split VVV-Venlo 54%, draw 22%, MVV Maastricht 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (VVV-Venlo) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (VVV-Venlo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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