Kisvarda 0-1 Debrecen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.79
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
2.91
6+ Goals
11%
9.12
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+3.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-0.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.3pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kisvarda EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Debrecen EU Bookmakers 38%
+6% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
1.33/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.36
+7% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
294 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 81%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
21.1 Crosses 19.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kisvarda
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Debrecen
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.62 xG 1.35
49% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
269 Passes 439
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.03.2024 Kisvarda Kisvarda 1-3 HT 1-1 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
02.12.2023 Kisvarda Kisvarda 0-0 HT 0-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
21.08.2023 Debrecen Debrecen 4-1 HT 1-0 Kisvarda Kisvarda MAC
11.03.2023 Kisvarda Kisvarda 0-1 HT 0-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
24.10.2022 Debrecen Debrecen 2-3 HT 1-1 Kisvarda Kisvarda MAC
31.07.2022 Kisvarda Kisvarda 2-2 HT 0-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kisvarda
0-1
AWAY Debrecen
1.01 xG 1.18
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 5
423 Passes 257
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
30 Box Touches 21
38 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kisvarda vs Debrecen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Debrecen edged past Kisvarda 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Kisvarda at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kisvarda had 61% of the ball to Debrecen's 39%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 1.01 to 1.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Debrecen led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kisvarda and 2.00 for Debrecen.

What was the final score of Kisvarda vs Debrecen?

Kisvarda 0-1 Debrecen in the Hungary - NB I on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kisvarda vs Debrecen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kisvarda win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kisvarda 43%, draw 23%, Debrecen 34%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kisvarda) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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