MTK Budapest 1-0 Zalaegerszegi TE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.0
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.29
Over 2.5
63%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.5
No
39%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.43
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
28%
2.67
6+ Goals
14%
7.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+3.3pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.5pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.1pp
37%
Under 2.5
40%
-2.5pp
63%
Over 2.5
60%
+2.5pp
61%
BTTS Yes
62%
-1.6pp
39%
BTTS No
38%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MTK Budapest EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
1.63/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.03
+6% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
18.1 Crosses 15.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MTK Budapest
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.30 xG 0.71
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
502 Passes 255
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2025 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 1-1 HT 1-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
02.11.2024 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 1-1 HT 0-1 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
26.07.2024 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 0-1 HT 0-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
10.03.2024 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 2-2 HT 0-2 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
10.11.2023 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 2-0 HT 0-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
06.08.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 2-1 HT 2-1 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MTK Budapest
1-0
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE
1.68 xG 0.70
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
475 Passes 320
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH MTK Budapest vs Zalaegerszegi TE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MTK Budapest edged past Zalaegerszegi TE 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had MTK Budapest as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, MTK Budapest had 58% of the ball to Zalaegerszegi TE's 42%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 1.68 to 0.70.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, MTK Budapest had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for MTK Budapest and 1.00 for Zalaegerszegi TE.

What was the final score of MTK Budapest vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

MTK Budapest 1-0 Zalaegerszegi TE in the Hungary - NB I on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MTK Budapest vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

Before kick-off our model rated a MTK Budapest win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split MTK Budapest 49%, draw 21%, Zalaegerszegi TE 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MTK Budapest) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (MTK Budapest) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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