Zalaegerszegi TE 1-1 MTK Budapest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.25
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
25%
3.28
6+ Goals
12%
12.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.3pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY MTK Budapest EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
1.38/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.67
-5% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
16.5 Crosses 16.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE
1W-2D-3L
AWAY MTK Budapest
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.62 xG 1.53
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
270 Passes 499
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 1-1 HT 0-1 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
26.07.2024 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 0-1 HT 0-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
10.03.2024 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 2-2 HT 0-2 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
10.11.2023 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 2-0 HT 0-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
06.08.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 2-1 HT 2-1 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
01.05.2022 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 2-3 HT 0-1 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalaegerszegi TE
1-1
AWAY MTK Budapest
0.96 xG 0.61
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
210 Passes 512
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zalaegerszegi TE vs MTK Budapest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalaegerszegi TE and MTK Budapest couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Zalaegerszegi TE had 32% of the ball to MTK Budapest's 68%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 0.96 to 0.61.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, MTK Budapest led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Zalaegerszegi TE and 1.67 for MTK Budapest.

What was the final score of Zalaegerszegi TE vs MTK Budapest?

Zalaegerszegi TE 1-1 MTK Budapest in the Hungary - NB I on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalaegerszegi TE vs MTK Budapest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zalaegerszegi TE win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Zalaegerszegi TE 38%, draw 26%, MTK Budapest 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zalaegerszegi TE), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zalaegerszegi TE) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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