Diosgyor 0-2 Paksi SE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.49
No
40%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.36
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
2.73
6+ Goals
15%
7.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-1.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
63%
-3.6pp
40%
BTTS No
37%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diosgyor EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Paksi SE EU Bookmakers 43%
+12% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
1.57/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.69
-7% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
328 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 71%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.5
21.2 Crosses 22.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Diosgyor
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Paksi SE
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.47 xG 1.35
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
300 Passes 255
69% Pass Accuracy 67%
24 Box Touches 30
21 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.11.2024 Paksi SE Paksi SE 3-4 HT 2-3 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
28.07.2024 Diosgyor Diosgyor 2-2 HT 1-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
16.03.2024 Diosgyor Diosgyor 2-1 HT 1-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
24.11.2023 Paksi SE Paksi SE 4-1 HT 3-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
12.08.2023 Diosgyor Diosgyor 1-1 HT 1-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
11.04.2021 Diosgyor Diosgyor 1-4 HT 0-2 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Diosgyor
0-2
AWAY Paksi SE
0.45 xG 1.16
61% Ball Possession 39%
7 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
436 Passes 234
82% Pass Accuracy 69%
22 Box Touches 29
33 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Diosgyor vs Paksi SE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paksi SE saw off Diosgyor 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Paksi SE made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Diosgyor had 61% of the ball to Paksi SE's 39%, shots finished 7-18, expected goals 0.45 to 1.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Diosgyor and 2.50 for Paksi SE.

What was the final score of Diosgyor vs Paksi SE?

Diosgyor 0-2 Paksi SE in the Hungary - NB I on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diosgyor vs Paksi SE?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paksi SE win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Diosgyor 34%, draw 26%, Paksi SE 39%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paksi SE) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paksi SE) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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