Pachuca 0-2 Queretaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 21 Sep 2025

Pachuca
0-2 HT 0-2
Queretaro
📅21/09/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2025/2026

Pachuca vs Queretaro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
13%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.1
Over 2.5
45%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.78
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
2.92
6+ Goals
8%
9.16
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.78 — our 29% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
69%
-3.0pp
21%
Draw
19%
+1.8pp
13%
Away Win
12%
+1.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.0pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pachuca v Queretaro — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pachuca EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Queretaro EU Bookmakers 15%
-4% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -6%
1.84/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.71
-11% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +3%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
351 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 72%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.9
22.9 Crosses 14.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4

Pachuca vs Queretaro Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pachuca
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Queretaro
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.77 xG 0.58
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
376 Passes 233
81% Pass Accuracy 70%
25 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
30.01.2025 Queretaro Queretaro 0-1 HT 0-1 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
01.09.2024 Pachuca Pachuca 1-1 HT 0-1 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
10.03.2024 Pachuca Pachuca 1-2 HT 0-1 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
21.08.2023 Queretaro Queretaro 1-1 HT 1-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
01.05.2023 Queretaro Queretaro 0-1 HT 0-1 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
05.07.2022 Pachuca Pachuca 2-0 HT 1-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK

Pachuca 0-2 Queretaro — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pachuca
0-2
AWAY Queretaro
0.80 xG 1.53
77% Ball Possession 23%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 3
551 Passes 133
88% Pass Accuracy 69%
32 Box Touches 12
53 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pachuca vs Queretaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queretaro beat Pachuca 2-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Pachuca at 66% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Pachuca had 77% of the ball to Queretaro's 23%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 0.80 to 1.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pachuca had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Pachuca and 0.67 for Queretaro.

What was the final score of Pachuca vs Queretaro?

Pachuca 0-2 Queretaro in the Mexico - Primera on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pachuca vs Queretaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pachuca win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Pachuca 66%, draw 21%, Queretaro 13%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Pachuca) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pachuca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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