Pachuca 1-2 Queretaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.06
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.08
6+ Goals
11%
9.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.06 — our 26% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.8pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pachuca EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Queretaro EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.53/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.33
+8% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -14%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
337 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 74%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
21.6 Crosses 18.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pachuca
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Queretaro
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.43 xG 1.08
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
325 Passes 245
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
21.08.2023 Queretaro Queretaro 1-1 HT 1-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
01.05.2023 Queretaro Queretaro 0-1 HT 0-1 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
05.07.2022 Pachuca Pachuca 2-0 HT 1-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
15.02.2022 Pachuca Pachuca 2-2 HT 2-1 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
23.08.2021 Queretaro Queretaro 0-2 HT 0-1 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
05.02.2021 Queretaro Queretaro 3-1 HT 2-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pachuca
1-2
AWAY Queretaro
1.67 xG 1.24
69% Ball Possession 31%
18 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
436 Passes 157
83% Pass Accuracy 65%
19 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 6
FAQ Pachuca vs Queretaro
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Queretaro edged past Pachuca 2-1 away from home in the Mexico - Primera on 10 Mar 2024. Half-time: 0-1.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Pachuca had 69% of the ball to Queretaro's 31%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 1.67 to 1.24.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pachuca have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Pachuca and 1.00 for Queretaro.

What was the final score of Pachuca vs Queretaro?

Pachuca 1-2 Queretaro in the Mexico - Primera on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pachuca vs Queretaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pachuca win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Pachuca 47%, draw 25%, Queretaro 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pachuca)
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