Guadalajara vs Leon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Guadalajara v Leon — Team-Based Signals
Guadalajara vs Leon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Guadalajara
MEK
0-2
HT 0-0
Guadalajara
MEK
0-0
HT 0-0
Leon
MEK
2-1
HT 1-0
Guadalajara
MEK
0-3
HT 0-1
Leon
MEK
1-3
HT 0-2
Guadalajara
MEK
Guadalajara 1-2 Leon — Actual Match Statistics
Leon edged past Guadalajara 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Guadalajara at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Guadalajara had 67% of the ball to Leon's 33%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.73 to 1.47.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guadalajara had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Guadalajara and 1.17 for Leon.
What was the final score of Guadalajara vs Leon?
Guadalajara 1-2 Leon in the Mexico - Primera on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Guadalajara vs Leon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Guadalajara 43%, draw 28%, Leon 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.