Santos Laguna 3-0 Cruz Azul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 10 Mar 2024

Santos Laguna
3-0 HT 1-0
Cruz Azul
📅10/03/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2023/2024

Santos Laguna vs Cruz Azul Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.69
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
46%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.73
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.26
6+ Goals
10%
11.4
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.26 — our 28% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
24%
+2.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.5pp
46%
Away Win
52%
-5.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.8pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Santos Laguna v Cruz Azul — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos Laguna EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Cruz Azul EU Bookmakers 56%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.27/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.02
-20% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
278 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 78%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.4
19.7 Crosses 19.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7

Santos Laguna vs Cruz Azul Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos Laguna
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Cruz Azul
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.61 xG 1.55
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
285 Passes 299
76% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
21.08.2023 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 2-2 HT 2-1 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
30.04.2023 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 3-2 HT 2-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
07.08.2022 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 4-0 HT 1-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
28.02.2022 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 1-2 HT 0-1 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
02.08.2021 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 1-1 HT 0-0 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul MEK
31.05.2021 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 1-1 HT 0-1 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK

Santos Laguna 3-0 Cruz Azul — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santos Laguna
3-0
AWAY Cruz Azul
35% Ball Possession 65%
5 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 9
249 Passes 500
78% Pass Accuracy 89%
POST-MATCH Santos Laguna vs Cruz Azul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santos Laguna cruised past Cruz Azul 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Cruz Azul at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Santos Laguna had 35% of the ball to Cruz Azul's 65%, shots finished 5-20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santos Laguna had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Santos Laguna and 1.33 for Cruz Azul.

What was the final score of Santos Laguna vs Cruz Azul?

Santos Laguna 3-0 Cruz Azul in the Mexico - Primera on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos Laguna vs Cruz Azul?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Santos Laguna 26%, draw 27%, Cruz Azul 46%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Cruz Azul), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cruz Azul) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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