Club America 2-0 Tigres UANL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
21%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.09
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.79
6+ Goals
11%
16.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
51%
+2.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
21%
Away Win
23%
-1.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.9pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club America EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Tigres UANL EU Bookmakers 26%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
1.52/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.19
-6% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
320 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 76%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
19.0 Crosses 17.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club America
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Tigres UANL
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.54 xG 0.70
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
379 Passes 390
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.12.2023 Club America Club America 3-0 HT 0-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
15.12.2023 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 1-1 HT 0-0 Club America Club America MEK
12.11.2023 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 0-0 HT 0-0 Club America Club America MEK
12.03.2023 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 0-2 HT 0-1 Club America Club America MEK
04.09.2022 Club America Club America 2-1 HT 2-1 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
24.04.2022 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 0-2 HT 0-1 Club America Club America MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club America
2-0
AWAY Tigres UANL
0.97 xG 1.77
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 23
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 9
294 Passes 441
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 39
8 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Club America vs Tigres UANL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club America got the better of Tigres UANL 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Club America as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Club America had 41% of the ball to Tigres UANL's 59%, shots finished 11-23, expected goals 0.97 to 1.77 — the balance of chances actually favoured Tigres UANL.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Club America and 0.33 for Tigres UANL.

What was the final score of Club America vs Tigres UANL?

Club America 2-0 Tigres UANL in the Mexico - Primera on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club America vs Tigres UANL?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Club America 54%, draw 25%, Tigres UANL 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club America) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club America) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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