Kongsvinger 2-1 Egersunds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.59
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.46
No
40%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.38
2-3 Goals
36%
1.97
4-5 Goals
28%
2.47
6+ Goals
12%
5.56
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-2.4pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.6pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.5pp
40%
BTTS No
36%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kongsvinger EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Egersunds EU Bookmakers 28%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.91/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.47
-2% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
432 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kongsvinger
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Egersunds
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
21.06.2025 Egersunds Egersunds 2-2 HT 1-0 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
23.11.2024 Egersunds Egersunds 1-2 HT 1-2 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
06.10.2024 Egersunds Egersunds 0-1 HT 0-0 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
15.04.2024 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 3-3 HT 1-1 Egersunds Egersunds NOR1
POST-MATCH Kongsvinger vs Egersunds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kongsvinger squeezed past Egersunds 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Kongsvinger as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kongsvinger had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Kongsvinger and 1.50 for Egersunds.

What was the final score of Kongsvinger vs Egersunds?

Kongsvinger 2-1 Egersunds in the Norway - 1st Division on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kongsvinger vs Egersunds?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kongsvinger win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Kongsvinger 51%, draw 20%, Egersunds 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kongsvinger), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kongsvinger) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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