Cukaricki Stankom 4-2 Backa Topola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.9
Over 2.5
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.3pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.8pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.4pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cukaricki Stankom EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Backa Topola EU Bookmakers 31%
-19% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +38%
1.32/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.21
-23% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +73% / +32%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
19.7 Crosses 11.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cukaricki Stankom
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Backa Topola
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.76 xG 1.18
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
267 Passes 361
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.02.2025 Backa Topola Backa Topola 2-1 HT 1-0 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRP
28.09.2024 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom 1-2 HT 1-1 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
12.05.2024 Backa Topola Backa Topola 2-0 HT 2-0 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRP
06.04.2024 Backa Topola Backa Topola 0-0 HT 0-0 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRP
05.11.2023 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom 0-2 HT 0-1 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
27.04.2023 Backa Topola Backa Topola 1-0 HT 0-0 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cukaricki Stankom
4-2
AWAY Backa Topola
3.30 xG 0.94
35% Ball Possession 65%
17 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
206 Passes 463
71% Pass Accuracy 84%
30 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Cukaricki Stankom vs Backa Topola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cukaricki Stankom beat Backa Topola 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cukaricki Stankom as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Cukaricki Stankom had 35% of the ball to Backa Topola's 65%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 3.30 to 0.94.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Backa Topola led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Cukaricki Stankom and 1.50 for Backa Topola.

What was the final score of Cukaricki Stankom vs Backa Topola?

Cukaricki Stankom 4-2 Backa Topola in the Serbia - Super League on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cukaricki Stankom vs Backa Topola?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cukaricki Stankom win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Cukaricki Stankom 46%, draw 23%, Backa Topola 31%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cukaricki Stankom), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cukaricki Stankom) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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