Levadiakos 4-0 OFI — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
2.95
2-3 Goals
44%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
3.49
6+ Goals
9%
14.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.95 — our 28% vs market 26.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.67
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.05
X/1
15%
4.56
X/2
10%
7.48
X/X
12%
4.53
2/1
11%
24.95
2/2
13%
5.74
2/X
9%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.0pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levadiakos EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY OFI EU Bookmakers 29%
+10% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
2.86/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.10
+57% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
341 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
18.5 Crosses 16.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levadiakos
1W-3D-2L
AWAY OFI
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.80 xG 0.88
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
164 Passes 401
63% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
13.01.2025 OFI OFI 0-0 HT 0-0 Levadiakos Levadiakos YUN
22.09.2024 Levadiakos Levadiakos 1-1 HT 0-0 OFI OFI YUN
18.03.2023 OFI OFI 1-1 HT 0-0 Levadiakos Levadiakos YUN
12.03.2023 Levadiakos Levadiakos 2-0 HT 2-0 OFI OFI YUN
14.11.2022 OFI OFI 2-1 HT 0-1 Levadiakos Levadiakos YUN
17.03.2019 OFI OFI 2-0 HT 1-0 Levadiakos Levadiakos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levadiakos
4-0
AWAY OFI
3.29 xG 0.47
72% Ball Possession 28%
17 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
428 Passes 125
89% Pass Accuracy 65%
36 Box Touches 7
30 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Levadiakos vs OFI
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levadiakos swept aside OFI 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Levadiakos as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Levadiakos had 72% of the ball to OFI's 28%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 3.29 to 0.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, OFI led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Levadiakos and 1.00 for OFI.

What was the final score of Levadiakos vs OFI?

Levadiakos 4-0 OFI in the Greece - Super League on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levadiakos vs OFI?

Before kick-off our model rated a Levadiakos win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Levadiakos 42%, draw 29%, OFI 29%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Levadiakos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Levadiakos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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