Panathinaikos 1-1 Olympiakos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 21 Sep 2025

Panathinaikos
1-1 HT 0-0
Olympiakos
📅21/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Greece - Super League – 2025/2026

Panathinaikos vs Olympiakos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
Over 2.5
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.55
2-3 Goals
40%
1.69
4-5 Goals
19%
4.04
6+ Goals
7%
20.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.55 — our 34% vs market 31.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.03
1/2
8%
28.5
1/X
5%
13.7
X/1
13%
6.54
X/2
15%
4.82
X/X
16%
4.03
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
16%
3.13
2/X
8%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.2pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
39%
Away Win
42%
-3.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Panathinaikos v Olympiakos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Olympiakos EU Bookmakers 46%
+18% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
1.12/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.22
+18% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -27%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
252 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
12.7 Crosses 16.6
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.3

Panathinaikos vs Olympiakos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panathinaikos
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Olympiakos
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.12 xG 1.39
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
288 Passes 220
75% Pass Accuracy 70%
21 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.05.2025 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 0-1 HT 0-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
30.03.2025 Olympiakos Olympiakos 4-2 HT 2-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
05.02.2025 Olympiakos Olympiakos 1-0 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUK
26.01.2025 Olympiakos Olympiakos 1-1 HT 1-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
15.01.2025 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-1 HT 0-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUK
06.10.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 0-0 HT 0-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN

Panathinaikos 1-1 Olympiakos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panathinaikos
1-1
AWAY Olympiakos
0.36 xG 1.16
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
300 Passes 352
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Panathinaikos vs Olympiakos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panathinaikos and Olympiakos couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Panathinaikos had 47% of the ball to Olympiakos's 53%, shots finished 6-9, expected goals 0.36 to 1.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olympiakos led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Panathinaikos and 1.33 for Olympiakos.

What was the final score of Panathinaikos vs Olympiakos?

Panathinaikos 1-1 Olympiakos in the Greece - Super League on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panathinaikos vs Olympiakos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Olympiakos win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Panathinaikos 32%, draw 29%, Olympiakos 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Olympiakos), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Olympiakos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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