Panathinaikos 0-1 Olympiakos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.58
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.13
6+ Goals
10%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 29% vs market 21.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.41
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
5%
12.45
X/1
7%
6.69
X/2
12%
5.53
X/X
19%
4.79
2/1
8%
30.0
2/2
18%
3.27
2/X
7%
12.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
33%
+0.5pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.8pp
37%
Away Win
40%
-3.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.7pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Olympiakos EU Bookmakers 43%
+22% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
1.12/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.13
+29% / +76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
313 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
14.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
11.5 Crosses 19.1
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panathinaikos
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Olympiakos
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.38 xG 1.43
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
308 Passes 233
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.03.2025 Olympiakos Olympiakos 4-2 HT 2-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
05.02.2025 Olympiakos Olympiakos 1-0 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUK
26.01.2025 Olympiakos Olympiakos 1-1 HT 1-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
15.01.2025 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-1 HT 0-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUK
06.10.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 0-0 HT 0-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
19.05.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-2 HT 1-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panathinaikos
0-1
AWAY Olympiakos
1.09 xG 1.10
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
317 Passes 291
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
29 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Panathinaikos vs Olympiakos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympiakos squeezed past Panathinaikos 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) promised a tight game; Olympiakos found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Panathinaikos had 52% of the ball to Olympiakos's 48%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.09 to 1.10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olympiakos led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Panathinaikos and 1.50 for Olympiakos.

What was the final score of Panathinaikos vs Olympiakos?

Panathinaikos 0-1 Olympiakos in the Greece - Super League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panathinaikos vs Olympiakos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Olympiakos win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Panathinaikos 33%, draw 30%, Olympiakos 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olympiakos), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Olympiakos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
YUN More Greece - Super League
11 May 2025
20:00 PAOK vs AEK Atina Analysis →