PAOK vs AEK Atina Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PAOK v AEK Atina — Team-Based Signals
PAOK vs AEK Atina Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
PAOK 1-0 AEK Atina — Actual Match Statistics
PAOK squeezed past AEK Atina 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had PAOK as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, PAOK had 35% of the ball to AEK Atina's 65%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 0.77 to 0.88.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for PAOK and 1.50 for AEK Atina.
What was the final score of PAOK vs AEK Atina?
PAOK 1-0 AEK Atina in the Greece - Super League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for PAOK vs AEK Atina?
Before kick-off our model rated a PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split PAOK 43%, draw 26%, AEK Atina 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PAOK), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.