Olympiakos 1-0 Panathinaikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Cup, 5 Feb 2025

📅05/02/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.96
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.44
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
5.02
6+ Goals
8%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.75
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.85
X/1
13%
4.4
X/2
8%
7.78
X/X
17%
3.8
2/1
8%
30.5
2/2
15%
6.63
2/X
9%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
47%
-10.4pp
34%
Draw
29%
+4.2pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.8pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olympiakos EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 27%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.29/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/0.50
+8% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / +123%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
371 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olympiakos
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Panathinaikos
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.33 xG 1.46
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
273 Passes 336
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 20
27 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.01.2025 Olympiakos Olympiakos 1-1 HT 1-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
15.01.2025 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-1 HT 0-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUK
06.10.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 0-0 HT 0-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
19.05.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-2 HT 1-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
10.03.2024 Olympiakos Olympiakos 1-3 HT 1-2 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
04.02.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-0 HT 1-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olympiakos
1-0
AWAY Panathinaikos
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Olympiakos vs Panathinaikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympiakos nicked a narrow win over Panathinaikos 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 34% / 30% — and on the day Olympiakos made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Olympiakos had 60% of the ball to Panathinaikos's 40%, shots finished 14-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panathinaikos led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Olympiakos and 1.50 for Panathinaikos.

What was the final score of Olympiakos vs Panathinaikos?

Olympiakos 1-0 Panathinaikos in the Greece - Cup on 05/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olympiakos vs Panathinaikos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olympiakos win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Olympiakos 37%, draw 34%, Panathinaikos 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olympiakos), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Olympiakos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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