Olympiakos 4-2 Panathinaikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.63
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
4.1
6+ Goals
10%
20.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.19
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
15.5
X/1
18%
4.04
X/2
12%
10.2
X/X
11%
4.55
2/1
11%
27.5
2/2
10%
9.02
2/X
5%
17.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olympiakos EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +10%
1.52/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.32
+6% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
378 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 75%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
19.4 Crosses 10.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olympiakos
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Panathinaikos
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.27 xG 1.43
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
259 Passes 318
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 22
28 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.02.2025 Olympiakos Olympiakos 1-0 HT 0-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUK
26.01.2025 Olympiakos Olympiakos 1-1 HT 1-0 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
15.01.2025 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 1-1 HT 0-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUK
06.10.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 0-0 HT 0-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
19.05.2024 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos 2-2 HT 1-0 Olympiakos Olympiakos YUN
10.03.2024 Olympiakos Olympiakos 1-3 HT 1-2 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olympiakos
4-2
AWAY Panathinaikos
1.13 xG 1.13
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 0
203 Passes 233
66% Pass Accuracy 69%
17 Box Touches 12
13 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Olympiakos vs Panathinaikos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olympiakos saw off Panathinaikos 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Olympiakos as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Olympiakos had 48% of the ball to Panathinaikos's 52%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.13 to 1.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Olympiakos and 1.17 for Panathinaikos.

What was the final score of Olympiakos vs Panathinaikos?

Olympiakos 4-2 Panathinaikos in the Greece - Super League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olympiakos vs Panathinaikos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olympiakos win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Olympiakos 50%, draw 23%, Panathinaikos 27%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olympiakos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Olympiakos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
YUN More Greece - Super League
30 Mar 2025
17:00 Panserraikos vs Lamia Analysis →
19:00 AEK Atina vs PAOK Analysis →