Panserraikos 1-1 Lamia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.65
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.07
6+ Goals
9%
19.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.65 — our 32% vs market 30.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.35
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.55
X/1
14%
4.21
X/2
10%
9.33
X/X
15%
4.41
2/1
9%
27.5
2/2
8%
8.0
2/X
7%
16.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-6.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.0pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.8pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panserraikos EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Lamia EU Bookmakers 23%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +16%
1.45/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.20
+19% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +28%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
376 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
18.0 Crosses 14.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panserraikos
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Lamia
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
1.35 xG 0.63
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
387 Passes 300
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 12
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.01.2025 Panserraikos Panserraikos 2-0 HT 1-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
30.09.2024 Lamia Lamia 1-2 HT 0-1 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
13.01.2024 Lamia Lamia 0-2 HT 0-1 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
23.09.2023 Panserraikos Panserraikos 2-0 HT 0-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panserraikos
1-1
AWAY Lamia
1.85 xG 1.17
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
383 Passes 255
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Panserraikos vs Lamia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panserraikos and Lamia shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Panserraikos at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Panserraikos had 58% of the ball to Lamia's 42%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.85 to 1.17.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Panserraikos had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Panserraikos and 0.25 for Lamia.

What was the final score of Panserraikos vs Lamia?

Panserraikos 1-1 Lamia in the Greece - Super League on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panserraikos vs Lamia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panserraikos win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Panserraikos 47%, draw 30%, Lamia 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Panserraikos), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Panserraikos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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