Göteborg 1-2 AIK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 21 Oct 2024

📅21/10/2024 · 🕒20:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.62
Over 2.5
34%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.58
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.57
6+ Goals
7%
24.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.58 — our 35% vs market 32.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.36
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
10%
13.65
X/1
12%
5.79
X/2
11%
5.05
X/X
10%
3.89
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
18%
3.6
2/X
9%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.6pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-1.6pp
66%
Under 2.5
58%
+7.6pp
34%
Over 2.5
42%
-7.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.1pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Göteborg EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY AIK EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -10%
1.33/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.28
-17% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +0%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
304 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 77%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
20.3 Crosses 20.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Göteborg
1W-2D-3L
AWAY AIK
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.69 xG 1.66
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
292 Passes 389
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 33
15 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.05.2024 AIK AIK 5-2 HT 1-1 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
06.11.2023 Göteborg Göteborg 1-1 HT 1-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
15.05.2023 AIK AIK 2-2 HT 1-1 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
24.10.2022 Göteborg Göteborg 1-0 HT 0-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
07.05.2022 AIK AIK 1-0 HT 0-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
20.09.2021 AIK AIK 3-1 HT 3-1 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Göteborg
1-2
AWAY AIK
0.91 xG 0.79
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
244 Passes 262
67% Pass Accuracy 70%
13 Box Touches 17
29 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Göteborg vs AIK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AIK squeezed past Göteborg 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and on the day AIK made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Göteborg had 51% of the ball to AIK's 49%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 0.91 to 0.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AIK led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Göteborg and 2.00 for AIK.

What was the final score of Göteborg vs AIK?

Göteborg 1-2 AIK in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Göteborg vs AIK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Göteborg win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Göteborg 36%, draw 29%, AIK 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Göteborg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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