Norrköping 1-1 Brommapojkarna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 21 Oct 2024

📅21/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.82
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.21
6+ Goals
11%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 26% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.92
1/2
8%
31.5
1/X
9%
12.75
X/1
15%
4.9
X/2
12%
6.77
X/X
10%
4.92
2/1
9%
24.45
2/2
16%
4.62
2/X
5%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.1pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.3pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norrköping EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Brommapojkarna EU Bookmakers 33%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +15%
1.38/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.40
-26% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +68% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
391 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 81%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
21.4 Crosses 29.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norrköping
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Brommapojkarna
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.32 xG 1.13
53% Ball Possession 47%
22 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
400 Passes 341
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 21
27 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.05.2024 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 2-1 HT 2-1 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
23.09.2023 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 2-2 HT 0-2 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
03.06.2023 Norrköping Norrköping 0-2 HT 0-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
31.10.2018 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 0-1 HT 0-0 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
02.04.2018 Norrköping Norrköping 2-1 HT 1-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
19.03.2017 Norrköping Norrköping 4-0 HT 2-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norrköping
1-1
AWAY Brommapojkarna
1.26 xG 0.27
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 7
472 Passes 462
91% Pass Accuracy 88%
32 Box Touches 13
37 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Norrköping vs Brommapojkarna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norrköping and Brommapojkarna couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 23% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Norrköping had 51% of the ball to Brommapojkarna's 49%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.26 to 0.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Norrköping had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Norrköping and 1.17 for Brommapojkarna.

What was the final score of Norrköping vs Brommapojkarna?

Norrköping 1-1 Brommapojkarna in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norrköping vs Brommapojkarna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Norrköping win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Norrköping 41%, draw 23%, Brommapojkarna 36%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Norrköping) ✗ BTTS No
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