Patronato 0-3 San Martin San Juan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 21 Oct 2024

📅21/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.45
Over 2.5
34%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.29
No
63%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.5pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.4pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.0pp
66%
Under 2.5
65%
+0.5pp
34%
Over 2.5
35%
-0.5pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.8pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Patronato EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY San Martin San Juan EU Bookmakers 27%
-6% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +4%
1.20/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.12
-7% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
256 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Patronato
1W-0D-5L
AWAY San Martin San Juan
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.92 xG 1.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
233 Passes 337
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 4
02.06.2024 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 1-0 HT 1-0 Patronato Patronato ARJPBN
24.06.2023 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 2-1 HT 0-0 Patronato Patronato ARJPBN
18.02.2023 Patronato Patronato 1-2 HT 0-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJPBN
19.08.2018 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 1-0 HT 0-0 Patronato Patronato ARJ
27.08.2017 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 2-0 HT 1-0 Patronato Patronato ARJ
22.11.2016 Patronato Patronato 3-0 HT 2-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJ
POST-MATCH Patronato vs San Martin San Juan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Martin San Juan cruised past Patronato 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Patronato at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (63%) landed while under 2.5 goals (66%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Martin San Juan led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Patronato and 1.33 for San Martin San Juan.

What was the final score of Patronato vs San Martin San Juan?

Patronato 0-3 San Martin San Juan in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Patronato vs San Martin San Juan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Patronato win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Patronato 45%, draw 30%, San Martin San Juan 26%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Patronato), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Patronato) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJPBN More Argentina - National Primera Liga
21 Oct 2024
01:30 Temperley vs Nueva Chicago Analysis →
02:00 Tristan Suarez vs Guillermo Brown Analysis →