Tristan Suarez 3-2 Guillermo Brown — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 21 Oct 2024

📅21/10/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.66
Draw
34%
3.54
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.45
Over 2.5
31%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.53
No
66%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
56%
-11.1pp
34%
Draw
25%
+8.7pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+2.5pp
69%
Under 2.5
65%
+3.7pp
31%
Over 2.5
35%
-3.7pp
34%
BTTS Yes
36%
-1.3pp
66%
BTTS No
64%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tristan Suarez EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Guillermo Brown EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -17%
1.35/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.38
+1% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
441 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tristan Suarez
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Guillermo Brown
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
47% Ball Possession 53%
4 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 9
8 Corners 7
02.06.2024 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown 2-1 HT 2-0 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez ARJPBN
19.06.2022 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown 1-0 HT 0-0 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez ARJPBN
02.10.2021 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown 0-0 HT 0-0 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez ARJPBN
09.06.2021 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 1-0 HT 1-0 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Tristan Suarez vs Guillermo Brown
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tristan Suarez squeezed past Guillermo Brown 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tristan Suarez as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Guillermo Brown led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Tristan Suarez and 0.75 for Guillermo Brown.

What was the final score of Tristan Suarez vs Guillermo Brown?

Tristan Suarez 3-2 Guillermo Brown in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tristan Suarez vs Guillermo Brown?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tristan Suarez win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Tristan Suarez 45%, draw 34%, Guillermo Brown 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tristan Suarez) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tristan Suarez) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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