San Martin San Juan 1-0 Patronato — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.4
No
57%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
55%
-3.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+3.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
38%
+5.2pp
57%
BTTS No
62%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Martin San Juan EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Patronato EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -16%
1.59/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.35
+18% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
378 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 204 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Martin San Juan
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Patronato
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.67 xG 1.92
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
337 Passes 233
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 3
24.06.2023 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 2-1 HT 0-0 Patronato Patronato ARJPBN
18.02.2023 Patronato Patronato 1-2 HT 0-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJPBN
19.08.2018 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 1-0 HT 0-0 Patronato Patronato ARJ
27.08.2017 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 2-0 HT 1-0 Patronato Patronato ARJ
22.11.2016 Patronato Patronato 3-0 HT 2-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJ
25.05.2014 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 0-2 HT 0-1 Patronato Patronato ARJPBN
POST-MATCH San Martin San Juan vs Patronato
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Martin San Juan squeezed past Patronato 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had San Martin San Juan as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Martin San Juan had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for San Martin San Juan and 1.17 for Patronato.

What was the final score of San Martin San Juan vs Patronato?

San Martin San Juan 1-0 Patronato in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Martin San Juan vs Patronato?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Martin San Juan win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split San Martin San Juan 52%, draw 27%, Patronato 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Martin San Juan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (San Martin San Juan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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