Achuapa 0-2 Malacateco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 21 Oct 2024

📅21/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
49%
+2.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.1pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.6pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Achuapa EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Malacateco EU Bookmakers 28%
-7% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.42/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.33
+5% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Achuapa
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Malacateco
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 13
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.08.2024 Malacateco Malacateco 0-2 HT 0-1 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
14.04.2024 Achuapa Achuapa 2-0 HT 1-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
06.11.2023 Malacateco Malacateco 3-2 HT 2-2 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
30.04.2023 Malacateco Malacateco 0-0 HT 0-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
02.03.2023 Achuapa Achuapa 4-3 HT 1-1 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
06.11.2022 Malacateco Malacateco 1-0 HT 0-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Achuapa
0-2
AWAY Malacateco
45% Ball Possession 55%
3 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Achuapa vs Malacateco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malacateco saw off Achuapa 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Achuapa at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Achuapa had 45% of the ball to Malacateco's 55%, shots finished 3-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Achuapa had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Achuapa and 1.17 for Malacateco.

What was the final score of Achuapa vs Malacateco?

Achuapa 0-2 Malacateco in the Guatemala - National League on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Achuapa vs Malacateco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Achuapa win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Achuapa 52%, draw 25%, Malacateco 24%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Achuapa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Achuapa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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