Libertad 0-1 Club Olimpia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 21 Oct 2024

📅21/10/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.53
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
36%
+4.7pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.4pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-1.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.1pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Libertad EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Olimpia EU Bookmakers 37%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.64/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/0.83
+41% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +42%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
240 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Libertad
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Club Olimpia
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.00 xG 0.72
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
33 Passes 29
75% Pass Accuracy 63%
1 Crosses 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.08.2024 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 4-0 HT 3-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
06.06.2024 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 1-3 HT 0-1 Libertad Libertad PAR
31.03.2024 Libertad Libertad 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
26.11.2023 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia 1-3 HT 1-1 Libertad Libertad PAR
28.09.2023 Libertad Libertad 4-0 HT 3-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
21.05.2023 Libertad Libertad 1-0 HT 1-0 Club Olimpia Club Olimpia PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Libertad
0-1
AWAY Club Olimpia
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Libertad vs Club Olimpia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Olimpia edged past Libertad 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Libertad at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Libertad had 52% of the ball to Club Olimpia's 48%, shots finished 11-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Libertad had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Libertad and 1.00 for Club Olimpia.

What was the final score of Libertad vs Club Olimpia?

Libertad 0-1 Club Olimpia in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Libertad vs Club Olimpia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Libertad 41%, draw 27%, Club Olimpia 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Libertad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Libertad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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