Miramar Misiones 1-0 Deportivo Maldonado — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 21 Oct 2024

📅21/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.56
Over
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
38%
4-5
22%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.6pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.5pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.3pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miramar Misiones The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Maldonado The Market 32%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -15%
1.08/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.47
-11% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Miramar Misiones
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Deportivo Maldonado
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
21.04.2024 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 1-2 HT 1-1 Miramar Misiones Miramar Misiones URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Miramar Misiones
1-0
AWAY Deportivo Maldonado
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Miramar Misiones vs Deportivo Maldonado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Miramar Misiones edged past Deportivo Maldonado 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Miramar Misiones made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Miramar Misiones had 52% of the ball to Deportivo Maldonado's 48%, shots finished 13-13.

What was the final score of Miramar Misiones vs Deportivo Maldonado?

Miramar Misiones 1-0 Deportivo Maldonado in the Uruguay - Premier League on 21/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miramar Misiones vs Deportivo Maldonado?

Before kick-off our model rated a Miramar Misiones win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Miramar Misiones 38%, draw 29%, Deportivo Maldonado 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Miramar Misiones), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Miramar Misiones) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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